Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.057993 0.065739 0.073642 0.082281 0.091427 0.100795 0.111091
2025-10-12 0.044548 0.055768 0.067774 0.081439 0.096437 0.112286 0.130193
2025-10-19 0.037139 0.050540 0.065439 0.082925 0.102611 0.123856 0.148295
2025-10-26 0.031050 0.045789 0.062769 0.083239 0.106781 0.132619 0.162762
2025-11-02 0.026837 0.042638 0.061432 0.084610 0.111736 0.141910 0.177496
2025-11-09 0.022813 0.039215 0.059371 0.084787 0.115024 0.149075 0.189625
2025-11-16 0.018244 0.034549 0.055372 0.082293 0.114895 0.152087 0.196825
2025-11-23 0.014474 0.030479 0.051766 0.079976 0.114723 0.154844 0.203549
2025-11-30 0.012578 0.028817 0.051095 0.081152 0.118619 0.162240 0.215524
2025-12-07 0.011108 0.027603 0.050892 0.082821 0.123035 0.170188 0.228090
2025-12-14 0.010153 0.027068 0.051532 0.085509 0.128656 0.179529 0.242252
2025-12-21 0.008765 0.025651 0.050840 0.086388 0.131983 0.186096 0.253137
2025-12-28 0.009064 0.027212 0.054509 0.093193 0.142935 0.202070 0.275421
2026-01-04 0.007225 0.024814 0.052407 0.092321 0.144282 0.206554 0.284243
2026-01-11 0.006230 0.023783 0.052200 0.093912 0.148681 0.214681 0.297344
2026-01-18 0.005084 0.022246 0.051124 0.094247 0.151429 0.220769 0.307994
2026-01-25 0.004313 0.021328 0.050913 0.095711 0.155581 0.228534 0.320620
2026-02-01 0.003418 0.019920 0.049835 0.095900 0.158038 0.234190 0.330693
2026-02-08 0.002248 0.017433 0.046827 0.093237 0.156681 0.235066 0.334952
2026-02-15 0.001364 0.015211 0.044050 0.090761 0.155464 0.236038 0.339261
2026-02-22 0.001036 0.014554 0.043879 0.092018 0.159151 0.243081 0.350890
2026-03-01 0.000806 0.014129 0.044080 0.093801 0.163523 0.250972 0.363543
2026-03-08 0.000690 0.014121 0.045020 0.096671 0.169347 0.260682 0.378410